Nine teams have a better than 10% chance to make the playoff according to ESPN, and only six have a 28% or better chance. The list is:

1. Ohio State 78%
2. Clemson 71%
3. Alabama 70%
4. Oklahoma 49%
5. LSU 46%
6. Penn State 28%
7. Oregon 13%
8. Notre Dame 12%
9. Auburn 11%

It's an interesting list because of the reasons why the percentages are different:

1. Ohio State is tops because they come from a good conference and have dominated everyone they have played thus far.
2. Clemson is so high because they are a good team in, let's face it, a pretty bad conference.
3. Alabama is high because people expect them to win out, and the SEC has some highly ranked teams.
4. Oklahoma plays in a better conference than Clemson, but still not a great one and there's a few teams like Baylor that could pull off an upset.
5. LSU is tricky, because they are #2 but people expect Alabama to win the game... so they are below 50%.
6. PSU is in the same boat as LSU, but people expect us to lose to Ohio State by a wider margin than Alabama over LSU. So our percentage is lower.
7. Oregon? See Clemson... only the Ducks have already lost once.
8. Notre Dame played a decent schedule but would really need help
9. Auburn is on here because they still play the current #1 and #2 teams in the polls. Win both of those and obviously they have a big shot. Though it's not likely.