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Game by Game Win Probability

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(@nitwit248)
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Topic starter  

https://fortheblogy.com/analytics-basic-stats-and-recent-historic-context-the-abcs-of-penn-state-football-forecasting-penn-states-2022-game-by-game-results

Long read, but the graphics have the necessary info for the tl;dr folks. Interesting to see how the algorithm loves certain teams and discounts others...some of which are ranked.



   
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(@southern-psu-fan)
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Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 



   
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(@psujoe)
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Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting.

Holy shet southern , I just did a quick browse of that article and it’s quite obvious that it’s nowhere close to what you’ve been predicting. 
In fact they are predicting what you’ve stated is unacceptable.



   
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 RIP
(@rip)
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@southern-psu-fan 

If everything comes together AND James let the coordinators do their jobs, we may even beat 'em both.



   
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(@roaminglion)
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Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable



   
RIP, Southern psu fan, RIP and 1 people reacted
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(@southern-psu-fan)
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@roaminglion  I must have scanned it wrong I thought it said 10-2. My bad. A 10 win season is the way to get the heat off James Franklin 9 ain’t good enough. For me it’s 11 or more wins. To much for me to read I scanned through and tried to get the wins total but I did a bad job of scanning 😂 


This post was modified 4 years ago 3 times by Southern psu fan

   
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(@psujoe)
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My prediction is 8-4 and it includes James Franklin’s annual brain fart which has become one of the more reliable things in his 8 years at PSU. So I’m actually predicting 7-3 plus the unknown wildcard brain fart loss for a final record of 8-4.

Don’t forget to figure in the brain fart in your predictions!



   
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(@forum-titan)
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Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable

Absolutely nothing wrong finishing 8-4. Eight wins would give them a bowl game.  



   
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(@roaminglion)
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Posted by: @forum-titan
Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable

Absolutely nothing wrong finishing 8-4. Eight wins would give them a bowl game.  

Who cares? If mid-tier bowl games are acceptable then go root for Rutgers



   
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(@psujoe)
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Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @forum-titan
Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable

Absolutely nothing wrong finishing 8-4. Eight wins would give them a bowl game.  

Who cares? If mid-tier bowl games are acceptable then go root for Rutgers

If his beloved Scarlet Nights ever go 8-4 I wonder if that famous flag of his would go back up.



   
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(@blushoes)
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Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @forum-titan
Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable

Absolutely nothing wrong finishing 8-4. Eight wins would give them a bowl game.  

Who cares? If mid-tier bowl games are acceptable then go root for Rutgers

Your response is the prime example for the full spectrum of human emotion typical of our fan base.  We must conquer our dissatisfaction and accept the facts. We aren't even close to being elite. 

 



   
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(@southern-psu-fan)
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@blushoes   We have elite talent we just need James Franklin to step his game back up and everything will be good!



   
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(@psu61)
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what would be interesting is to see the same info for each team going back each year for 5 years and looking at the results  to identify if a statistically significant pattern exist where applicable.



   
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(@roaminglion)
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Posted by: @blushoes
Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @forum-titan
Posted by: @roaminglion
Posted by: @southern-psu-fan

Pretty much on what I’ve been predicting. I’m looking for an 11-2 season. I believe if everything comes together we can get a win against Ohio St or Michigan 

It predicts 8-4, that's not acceptable

Absolutely nothing wrong finishing 8-4. Eight wins would give them a bowl game.  

Who cares? If mid-tier bowl games are acceptable then go root for Rutgers

Your response is the prime example for the full spectrum of human emotion typical of our fan base.  We must conquer our dissatisfaction and accept the facts. We aren't even close to being elite. 

 

Please tell me where in this posting did anyone mention "elite"? Stating 8-4 isn't acceptable doesn't = thinking we're elite yet. I've even mentioned multiple times in other threads that we are NOT elite. SMH



   
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(@been-there-ii)
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@roaminglion Blue shoes is sounding more like Tighten every day.



   
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(@psujoe)
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Joined: 6 years ago
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Posted by: @been-there-ii

@roaminglion Blue shoes is sounding more like Tighten every day.

Reading comprehension continues to elude him.



   
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